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St Bonaventure Bonnies vs La Salle Explorers (Phil Naessens)
We have an Atlantic-10 Conference contest for tonight and we are interested in the 141.5 point total.
We like UNDER 141.5 in this matchup. The Bonnies are the better side here but they haven’t played a competitive game since December 17, 2021. They will be rusty for sure and especially on the offensive end of the floor but the defense will likely be their saving grace as they are up against a below average Explorers offense with a high turnover rate and relies far too much on the triple. La Salle is one of the better offensive rebounding sides in the country but the Bonnies have the length to keep them off of the glass and prevents the Explorers from the second chance points they’ve enjoyed this season. The UNDER is 7-1 over the last eight games when the Bonnies are favorites of 7-12.5 points and we expect that trend to continue tonight. Consider UNDER 141.5 points tonight.
Buffalo Bulls vs Western Michigan Broncos (Phil Naessens)
It’s “MACaction” action tonight when the Buffalo Bulls meet the Western Michigan Broncos tonight at 7:00 pm eastern. We have interest tonight in the 154.5 point total.
We like UNDER 154.5 points tonight. No doubt about who is going to win this game but that number is a bit too high. Even though we have two bad defenses playing tonight the Broncos have a below average offense with extremely bad shooters. Buffalo scores the sixteenth most points per game this season and plays at a fast-enough tempo to do their share of the scoring but Western and its much slower tempo won’t get enough possessions to score enough points for this contest to exceed the total. Western also has a high turnover rate but Buffalo averages only thirteen points per game off of opponents turnovers and that isn’t going to be enough to push this one over 154.5 points. Consider UNDER 154.5 points tonight!
George Washington Colonials vs VCU Rams (Joe)
VCU outperforming the market ATS but possibly reaching bubble status as GW clearly underperforming, is that ready to change? VCU overvalued, GW undervalued? Big .60 calculation in TWL indicators in the 20pb(games back) correction to the over. “Don’t catch a falling knife”, well have we bottom ticked and now bounced with room to grow here. Total possibly posted too low.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores (Joe)
Kentucky found the bottom a few games ago and even with a few ATS losses now at a previous 3x level of support. Vandy off an ATS loss as well as top tick, are the Commodores regressing to the mean? Kentucky likely undervalued in this situation. Fibonacci traders see an interesting 50% retracement level in the 20pb #chart. Which way will this total go?
Ball State Cardinals vs Akron Zips (Joe)
Ball State on a mini run here ATS getting 8.5 on the road. Akron has been outperforming market expectations ATS getting the upticks you see charted. Has Akron top ticked coming off a loss and will the momentum continue for each squad? Totals chart sees team combining to the over last 20 but have had a hard time continuing outpacing posted totals together(resistance at 10 level). Both teams under last game, lots of air under this total, is it posted too high? When we look at the combined markets do we see a nice situation where Dog, Under gives you value, I think a solid case can be made for exactly these plays.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers